Pre-season college football polls can be your best friend or
worst enemy. Some may feel that the pre-season polls either hype up a team too
much or do not give enough credit to the underdog. These polls are rarely
correct especially when it comes to picking the number one team in the country.
For example, the 2012 Associated Press pre-season poll had
USC at the top of the rankings; yet, the Trojans finished the season unranked. In
fact, 2004 was the last time AP pre-season #1 won the national championship
(USC later had to vacate that title due to NCAA sanctions).
Regardless of how you view pre-season polls, they can also
be beneficial, and above all else it is something to talk about as we very
impatiently wait for the start of the 2014 season.
So here is another 2014 pre-season top 25:
25. Florida
No other team in college football suffered more from
injuries than the Florida Gators. Florida will benefit from some key returning
starters such as quarterback Jeff Driskel who is operating under new offensive
coordinator Kurt Roper. They play Alabama and LSU out of the West so the
schedule is not easy. With enough offensive production out of Driskel, the
Gators will make a surprise run in the East.
24. Clemson
It is hard to underestimate the coaching ability of Dabo
Swinney. While he has done an excellent job, his teams struggle in big time
games. Losing Tajh Boyd and Sammy Watkins to the NFL will hurt the Tigers.
Opening against Georgia does not help. Clemson’s record may fall off early, but
expect improvement by the second half of the season because they do return
serious talent.
23. Texas
The Longhorns may be working with new head coach Charlie
Strong, but this is still the same team almost won the BIG 12. Strong inherits
15 returning starters. If Texas can survive their first six games then they
will make a serious run in the BIG 12.
22. UCF
It is hard to say that UCF will repeat last year’s success
that concluded with a Fiesta Bowl win over Baylor. The Knights have some work
to do replacing quarterback Blake Bortles and leading rusher Storm Johnson.
Fortunately, Cincinnati is not on their schedule so a win over Houston on Oct.
2 will almost guarantee winning the AAC conference.
21. Kansas State
Kansas State will have a tough time handling their schedule
with games at Oklahoma, TCU, and Baylor plus anon-conference home game against
Auburn. However, Bill Snyder does a great job getting his players ready and
uses a lot of junior college transfers. The Wildcats will be dark horse
contenders in the BIG 12 behind the strong arm of quarterback Jake Waters.
20. Virginia Tech
The Hokies are serious contenders in the ACC Coastal, but hey
will need to play their best Beamer Ball with Ohio State and East Carolina on
their non-conference schedule. On the bright side, Virginia Tech hosts most of
their tough opponents. Expect the Hokies to stay in the top 25 if Beamer can
replace some of last year’s leaders.
19. Marshall
It is easy to say
that Marshall should start and finish in the top 25 because an undefeated
season is a strong possibility. They return a solid squad that includes their
leading passer, receiver, and tackler from last season. The Thundering Herd
also benefits from one of the easiest schedules in the country. Marshall will
not make a large climb up the polls due to their soft schedule.
18. Ole Miss
Ole Miss will begin to benefit from Hugh Freeze’s recruiting
classes this season. The Rebels have the most experienced quarterback in the
SEC and also have the best defense they have had in the Hugh Freeze era.
Playing in the SEC West is the biggest challenge of course, but, with one or
two upsets, Ole Miss can make a run up the polls.
17. Michigan
Michigan would be a heavy favorite in their division if it
were not for road games at Michigan State and Ohio State. Brady Hoke has the
talent and the staff to make a run in the BIG Ten East, provided new offensive
coordinator Doug Nussmeier ignites a much-needed spark in the offense. The
defense is poised to be the best in the Hoke era so do not sleep on the
Wolverines.
16. North Carolina
North Carolina showed signs of future success by winning 5
of their last 6 games last season after starting the season 1-5. Larry Fedora’s
system seemed to operate better under quarterback Marquise Williams who returns
this season. The Tar Heels travel to Clemson, Notre, and Miami. They should be
favored in two of those games. They will have to replace some big time players,
but if they play their cards right, a 10 win season and Coastal division title
is very possible.
15. Stanford
Stanford head coach David Shaw is entering his fourth season
as head coach after going to three consecutive BCS Bowls in his first three
seasons. Unfortunately, this looks like the year that streak comes to an end.
Away games at Washington, Notre Dame, Arizona State, Oregon, and UCLA will be
too much for Stanford. However, Shaw is arguably the best coach in the PAC 12
so you can expect him to get some much-needed wins down the stretch with the
talent he returns.
14. USC
USC had a remarkable turn around last season after the
firing of Lane Kiffin. Steve Sarkisian steps in now and inherits a lot of
talent. The Trojans are poised to have the best defensive line in the country.
USC returns their leading passer, rusher, and receiver from last season and
only has two tough road games at Stanford and UCLA. An early win at Stanford
could me a late November matchup with the Bruins will decide the PAC-12 South.
13. LSU
LSU has to replace their leading passer, rusher, and top two
receivers from last season. However, the Tigers are experienced and will still
be contenders in the SEC West. Their season opener against Wisconsin will set
the tone for the rest of the season. If they survive road games to Auburn and
Florida then Les Miles will have yet another matchup against Alabama that could
decide the West if one of the Mississippi teams does not get in their way
first.
12. Wisconsin
The Badgers are not only the favorites to win the BIG Ten
West, but they are also underdog contenders for the playoff. Running back
Melvin Gordon will help lead the offense that could end up being the best in
the conference. Very little experience returns on defense so that could be the
demise of the Badgers chances of winning their division. However, if the
offense lives up to their expectations then Wisconsin will have a solid season.
11. Ohio State
The Buckeyes took a significant drop due to Braxton Miller’s
season ending injury. Urban Meyer will have his work cut out for him, but
because he is one of the best in the country he will keep this team in
contention. Ohio State still has tough games at Maryland, Penn State, and
Michigan State. The offense is now a huge question mark so the defense will
have to take the reins and help squeak out a couple of wins.
10. South Carolina
Even with a win over Georgia on September 13th,
the Gamecocks will have a rough road ahead of them to make it to Atlanta. Road
games at Florida and Auburn in the second half of the season will be difficult
not to mention a non-conference game against Clemson. On a positive note, South
Carolina returns running back Mike Davis who is the focal point of the offense.
The Gamecocks have one of the best teams in the SEC, but also one of the
toughest schedules.
9. Auburn
Everyone knows about this historic run the Auburn Tigers
made last season. The Tigers return a lot of talent so they can continue that
success this season. However, he schedule is a lot more difficult this season
with road games at Kansas State, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Georgia, and
Auburn while also having to play South Carolina out of the East. If Nick
Marshall improves his passing game, the Tigers could easily win the West
despite the tough schedule.
8. Michigan State
There is one thing standing between Michigan State and a
playoff run and that is an early game against Oregon. The Spartans return quarterback
Connor Cook who really stepped up in wins over Ohio State and Stanford.
Replacing leaders on defense will be the key to making a run to the playoff.
The sky is the limit for Michigan State if they avoid upsets (the Spartans
should be favored in at least 11 games).
7. Baylor
Baylor literally dominated most of the 2013 season until
Oklahoma State ruined their national title hopes. The Bears will have to
restructure its’ defense, but the return of quarterback Bryce Petty and wide
receiver Antwan Goodley is music to the ears of Baylor fans. A November 8th
game against at Oklahoma will likely decide the BIG 12 and possibly a playoff
spot.
6. Georgia
The Bulldogs are in a nice setup to win the SEC East. Of
course they have to survive a game at South Carolina, but the return of running
back Todd Gurley is excellent news for Georgia. Do not overlook quarterback
Hutson Mason. He has experience and will do fine leading the Bulldogs. Every
SEC team has a tough schedule, and it is no different for Georgia. However,
they should be the favorite to win the SEC East.
5. UCLA
If UCLA wants to make it to the playoff, this will be the
year to do it. The Bruins return 17 starters including superstars Brett Hundley
and Myles Jack. They play all their toughest games at home (Oregon, USC, and
Stanford) with the lone exception being a mutual sight game against Texas. What
is the bad news for UCLA? If they beat Oregon and Stanford in the regular
season they will likely have to still play one of them again in the PAC 12
Championship.
4. Oklahoma
It is easy to get hyped on the Sooners because of beat down
they gave Alabama in last year’s Sugar Bowl. It does not matter how you view
that game because Oklahoma still has loads of returning talent starting with
quarterback Trevor Knight. The schedule is tough, but most of the difficult
games are at home. The only real concern is finding depth at wide receiver.
Despite the talent level, the Sooners season will go one of two ways: playoff
berth or Cotton Bowl invite.
3. Oregon
Oregon will have an early test against Michigan State in
week 2. If they survive that game they will have a strong chance of making it
to the playoffs. Even a regular season loss to UCLA can be redeemed in the PAC
12 Championship and get them to the playoff. The key to their success is Marcus
Mariota so his health is pivotal this season (we all saw where Ohio State
dropped when they lost Braxton Miller).
2. Alabama
The only thing slowing down the Tide this season is the
looming question of who will start at quarterback: Sim or Coker. It should not
matter who starts as long as he can find wide receiver Amari Cooper. Their slew
of running backs will be the backbone of the offense while the defense needs to
step up after seeing teams like Texas A&M and Oklahoma run up the score. If
the Tide lives past their matchups with LSU and Auburn then you can bet on a
playoff spot.
1. Florida State
It is pretty repetitive to place the defending national
champion at pre-season number one. Trust me this is not just another generic
pick. The Seminoles are serious contenders. If they lose in the regular season,
blame the defense. The Seminoles have a few games that could turn into an upset
(Clemson, Notre Dame, Louisville, and Florida), but the real competition will
be in the playoff. Playoff berth? Yes. Repeat national champions? Do not get
too excited.
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