2013 CFB Season: Breakdown of the AP Top 25 Games of Week 4

Another week of college football has passed with many changes occurring in the AP top 25. TCU and Nebraska both dropped out of the AP top 25 altogether. There were some jumps forward and some backward for a couple of teams. There are not many huge games this week, but there are a couple of upset alerts that need attention.

Texas State at #25 Texas Tech

Line: Texas Tech by 26

Score Prediction: Texas Tech wins 36-13

Last week, I predicted Texas Tech to upset TCU and the Red Raiders did pull out the upset in a low scoring game. Texas Tech has an offense that can score quickly with Kliff  Kingsbury's offense although they did not show it against TCU. Texas State is not a team to underestimate. The Bobcats are 2-0 and head coach Dennis Franchione is a experienced head coach that has made his rounds. I am not predicting an upset, but I do not see the Red Raiders to cover the spread. They will score on this defense, but more than likely not a lot of points will be scored.

Purdue at #24 Wisconsin

Line: Wisconsin by 24

Score Prediction: Wisconsin wins 42-14

Wisconsin lost in a controversial game to Arizona State last week. An argument can be made all day regarding if Wisconsin could have won the game. Purdue is a weak team this year and I see possibly a close first quarter. This game should be all Wisconsin unless they play with an upset attitude from last week's loss. I see the Badgers playing with a lot of heart in order to make up the loss. I see the Badgers covering the spread and an upset is possible in this game, but I am not predicting one. Purdue is in a recovery season with a new head coach so I can not predict an upset over a nice offensively balanced team like Wisconsin.

#23 Arizona State at #5 Stanford

Line: Stanford by 6

Score Prediction: Stanford wins 28-20

This is going to be one of the best games of the week. Stanford is a top ranked team with one of the most powerful balanced offensive attacks in the country. Arizona State is also a team that can score and the Sun Devils are coming off a big win over Wisconsin. Stanford has struggled more than I expected them to in their first two games over San Jose State and Army. I still like Stanford in this game because of their balanced attack. Their defense has flaws but for the most part is solid. I am putting Stanford on upset alert. Arizona State is one of the most underrated teams in the country. The Sun Devils have a lethal passing attack that may give Stanford trouble. Arizona State will need to force Stanford to pass a lot in this game. If the defense keeps Stanford's offense off balanced, they can win this game.

Michigan State at #22 Notre Dame
Line:  Notre Dame by 6
Score Prediction: Notre Dame wins 27-21
It is pretty obvious that I am going to put Notre Dame on upset alert in this game. Some analysts already have Michigan State favored in this game. I, on the other hand, like the Fighting Irish in this one. Quarterback Tommy Rees has really impressed me this season for the Fighting Irish. The whole team impressed me with their ability to hang with Michigan in the Big House. Michigan State is 3-0 and to be fair they have a great chance of winning this game. This game will the Spartan's first real test and I think they are actually a pretty weak team. They continue to struggle offensively. I will give credit to their defense for stepping up when it matters most which is very important in college football. I see this being a low scoring game with Notre Dame holding the lead for a majority of the game. Michigan State will need to play a solid defensive performance and get their offense going to pull the upset. Notre Dame wins this game but will be on upset alert.

#21 Ole Miss does not play in week 4.

ULM at #20 Baylor
Line: Baylor by 27
Score Prediction: Baylor wins 49-20
Baylor is a team no one is talking about just yet. They are putting up offensive numbers that are just as big as the numbers Oregon's offense is putting up. Their competition so far this season has been weak to say the least. I still think this team is not a team to mess with. Since Texas has gone down hill, I see Baylor pushing Oklahoma State for the Big 12 title. ULM has a great quarterback in Kolton Browning, but I am not putting the Bears on upset alert. The Warhawks just do not have enough depth on defense to win this game. If their defense does show up and keeps this Baylor offense off the field, an upset is possible. I still like the Bears in this game.

Tennessee at #19 Florida
Line: Florida by 17
Score Prediction: Florida wins 28-13
I am actually going with a bold prediction by not putting Florida on upset alert. The Gators are coming off a bye week, the game is in the Swamp, and Tennessee was flattened by Oregon's offense last week. Florida has played poorly offensively which is nothing new for the Gators. This an SEC game so I am not saying that the upset is not possible I just do not see it. Tennessee is much to weak right now to beat Florida in the Swamp. Florida has a great defense that will shutdown the Vols offense, but Jeff Driskel and company has not been able to score so I see a low scoring with Florida winning.

Maine at #18 Northwestern
Line: Northwestern by 28
Score Prediction: Northwestern wins 45-14
There is not much to predict in this game. Northwestern has shown resiliency and has played some solid football. Maine, even though they are 3-0, has yet to play a quality opponent until now. Northwestern will be a little bit too much for Maine to handle despite all the recent FCS upsets. Northwestern wins big.

Idaho State at #17 Washington
Line: Washington by 49
Score Prediction Washington wins 56-10
This is another game that there is not too much to predict. Washington is on a hot streak right now behind quarterback Keith Price. Idaho State is a much weaker opponent. They may prevent the Huskies from covering the spread, but I am not giving Idaho State a chance to win. Washington will win this game with ease.

Savannah State at #16 Miami, FL
Line: Miami, FL by 55
Score Prediction: Miami, FL wins 63-3
Miami, FL is another team that will be playing  weak team this week. I am not giving Savannah State a chance to win this one because Miami is playing really well on offense. This game will be over by the third quarter and will be an easy win for the Hurricanes.

#15 Michigan at Connecticut
Line: Michigan by 18
Score Prediction: Michigan wins 38-14
Michigan played poorly last week and almost lost in the Big House to Akron. While this may give just about anybody else a reason to put the Wolverines on upset alert, I am not doing that. I am blaming Michigan's poor performance on celebrating the Notre Dame victory for too long. Connecticut has played poorly all season including a loss to Towson. An upset is possible because the game is at Connecticut and a win over Michigan would salvage the Huskies season. Devin Gardner and company will be too much and Michigan will win this game with ease.

#14 Oklahoma does not play in week 4.

New Mexico State at #13 UCLA
Line: UCLA by 38
Score Prediction: UCLA wins 45-7
Week four has a lot of games that are pretty easy wins for top 25 teams. This is another one of those games. UCLA is coming off a dominating win over Nebraska, one that Nebraska led at halftime. New Mexico State is winless and UCLA is undefeated. If an upset is even remotely possible it is because the Bruins have a young defense. THat same young defense stepped up when it mattered most in their game against Nebraska. Brett Hundley has helped lead a dominating offense and I am not giving New Mexico State a chance to win this game.

#12 South Carolina does not play in week 4.

#11 Oklahoma State does not play in week 4.

SMU at #10 Texas A&M
Line: Texas A&M by 28
Score Prediction: Texas A&M wins 52-17
Texas A&M is coming off a disappointing loss to Alabama in College Station. I do not think this will matter in this game. SMU is capable of pulling upset although they have played poorly this year. The key for any team to beat A&M requires you to stop Johnny Manziel or just outscore the Aggies. This is possible because the Aggies have a weaker defense than most realized. I am still not putting Texas A&M on upset alert. I think their offense is too much for any team to handle and they will run away with the game.

North Texas at #9 Georgia
Line: Georgia by 36
Score Prediction: Georgia wins 52-10
I like Georgia to win this game by a large margin. North Texas is a much smaller team that lacks depth. Aaron Murray and Todd Gurley can not be stopped by the Mean Green defense. Bigger upsets have occurred in college football, but this will not be one of them. If North Texas find a way to shut down the Bulldog's offense and score on their young defense then the upset suddenly becomes possible. This will not happen and Georgia wins with ease.

Bethune-Cookman at #8 Florida State
Line: Florida State by 40
Score Prediction: Florida State wins 54-7
Florida State has been on a hot streak behind quarterback Jameis Winston. Florida State will continue this streak with an easy win over Bethune-Cookman. I am not underestimating Bethune Cookman because they are 3-0 with one of those wins being over Florida International. I have Florida State covering the spread but do not be surprised to see Bethune-Cookman scoring some points on this Seminole defense. Florida State is not on upset alert and will win this game by at least 20 points and will remain undefeated.

Florida International at #7 Louisville
Line: Louisville by 41
Score Prediction: Louisville wins 56-6
I am not giving Florida International a chance to win. I will say that the Cardinals do tend to play badly against weaker teams. Louisville has played solid almost every quarter they have played this season behind quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. Their defense is phenomenal and this should be a blowout. Florida International is 0-3 so far this season and their losing ways will continue. If the Golden Panthers can take Teddy Bridgewater out of the equation then I will say an upset is possible. I still do not see any possibility an upset occurs and I have the Cardinals winning big.

Auburn at #6 LSU
Line: LSU by 14
Score Prediction: LSU wins 27-17
I can finally talk about a game that I think will be really close. I am putting LSU on upset alert. Auburn has played really well so far this season and Gus Malzahn is only in his first season. Last year, Auburn finished with one of the worst records in the SEC and still almost beat LSU last year. I still have LSU winning this game because it is at home, Zach Mettenberger has matured as quarterback, and Auburn still is adjusting under quarterback Nick Marshall. This game could get really close and if an upset occurs, do not be surprised. Auburn is starting to get their swagger back and will be dangerous. I still like LSU in this matchup.

Florida A&M at #4 Ohio State
Line: Ohio State by 50
Score Prediction: Ohio State wins 63-7
This is another game that there will be no chance of an upset. There is a chance Ohio State quarterback Braxton Miller will not play, but this will not matter. It will not matter because they are playing a 1-2 Florida A&M team and Ohio State's back up quarterback Kenny Guiton has been playing exceptionally well. This will be a blowout win for the Buckeyes and they will continue their win streak.

#3 Clemson at North Carolina State
Line: Clemson by 13
Score Prediction: Clemson wins 34-14
This is an interesting game. Clemson is having to travel to North Carolina State for a Thursday night game. These are the types of games that can be a trap for a top ranked team. I think Clemson's offense is much too powerful for North Carolina State, but I still have the Tigers on upset alert. If the Wolfpack can make this a defensive game, the upset is very possible. I think this will be a close matchup for the first half. the second half will be all Clemson and they will win by a comfortable margin. I would give North Carolina State a better chance to upset, but they have already struggled to win against teams like Richmond. Home field advantage can be a lot of motivation for a team so Dabo Swinney's team needs to watch out.

#2 Oregon does not play in week 4.

Colorado State at #1 Alabama
Line: Alabama by 36
Score Prediction: Alabama wins 42-13
Alabama is coming off a big win over Texas A&M. I am not predicting Colorado State to upset Alabama by any chance so I am not putting the Crimson Tide on upset alert. I am not predicting Alabama to cover the spread. Nick Saban has a great amount of respect for most teams and will not run up the score. This is especially true against his former offensive coordinator Jim McElwain. Colorado State is not a team to underestimate. If there is anyone in the country that knows Alabama it is JIm McElwain. I just do not think the Rams have enough depth to keep up with Alabama in Bryant Denny Stadium. I predict this one to be in favor of the Crimson Tide the whole game. Once again, I would not sleep on Colorado State completely if Alabama plays like they are "hungover" from last week's big victory.

2013 CFB Season: Breakdown of the AP Top 25 Games of Week 3

Another week of college football has passed with the usual excitement. The biggest moves in the AP poll involved #15 ranked Texas falling out of the polls and being replaced by previous unranked Miami, Florida. A new week of college football means another breakdown. So far my record is pretty good predicting a winner. My record of predicting if a team will cover the spread needs some work. This week I will try to go a little deeper into each team to help better predict the winner and the spread.

#25 Ole Miss at Texas

Line: Texas by 3

Score Prediction: Ole Miss wins 30-24

Considering Texas is currently the favorite, this prediction is technically an upset. Texas really disappointed me last week because they returned one of the most experienced teams in the country. I really expected them to do great things this season. The Longhorns were dominated by BYU and lost by 19. Texas is now in bigger trouble now that Mack Brown fired defensive coordinator Manny Diaz in favor of former Michigan defensive coordinator Greg Robinson. Texas is also suffering from some offensive injuries including quarterback David Ash. Ole Miss started their season off with a close win over Vanderbilt. This game will be another challenge for the Rebels even with Mack Brown having trouble with his team. I like the Rebels in this game because quarterback Bo Wallace and the rest of the Rebel's offense has been really impressive so far this season. The Texas defensive struggles will continue in this game. At the same time, Texas can still manage to score points. This game could go either way and it will be interesting to see how both defensives perform. I still give the favorite to Ole Miss.

#24 TCU at Texas Tech

Line: TCU by 3

Score Prediction: Texas Tech wins 38-21

I am going with the upset in this game. TCU has not played up to their usual standard defensively. They struggled against both LSU and Southeastern Louisiana. Texas Tech has performed flawlessly under new head coach Kliff Kingsbury. Texas Tech freshman quarterback Baker Mayfield has really fit in to the up tempo offense. He has thrived in the offense and currently has thrown seven touchdown passes compared to zero interceptions. I think the fast paced offense of Texas Tech will cause the Horned Frogs to struggle. If Texas Tech can slow down TCU's offense there is not a doubt in my mind that they will pull the upset. The game being in Lubbock gives even more of a edge to the Red Raiders.

#16 UCLA at #23 Nebraska

Line: Nebraska by 4

Score Prediction: UCLA wins 38-34

This was one of the toughest games of the week for me to pick. Both teams rely heavily on their offenses and both have strong rushing attacks. Nebraska relies on quarterback Taylor Martinez to run the ball too much and I consider that their weakness. Although I believe Nebraska has the better defense, I give UCLA the edge to win because of their powerful pistol offense. The Bruins also had a by week prior to this game. This is yet another game that could go either way, but I feel like UCLA will win a close. Turnover margin will be very important in this game and whoever has the most rushing yards will win the game. If Martinez performs well and the defense slows down the pistol offense, Nebraska will win.

#22 Baylor does not play in week 3.

#21 Notre Dame at Purdue

Line: Notre Dame by 23

Score Prediction: Notre Dame wins 41-24

While I must admit I did not expect much out of Purdue this year, I still did not expect them to play this poorly at the start of the season. Purdue was routed by Cincinnati in week one and barely got past Indiana State in week two. Notre Dame lost a big game to Michigan last week and I think this game will help build their confidence. I do not predict Notre Dame to cover the spread, but I do see Notre Dame scoring a large amount of points behind quarterback Tommy Rees. Purdue has home field advantage so there is a chance the Boilermakers will upset. Notre Dame's track record also gives even more reason to believe the Boilermakers will upset. Purdue will need to establish a ground game and step up on defense in order to upset. Chances of a Purdue win are very low and I see a comfortable win for the Fighting Irish.

#20 Wisconsin at Arizona State

Line: Arizona State by 4

Score Prediction: Wisconsin wins 38-35

This was another tough game to decide a winner to. Arizona State has a powerful offense, home field advantage, and they are coming off a bye week. Wisconsin is the underdog according to the line. Both teams have not allowed a single point all season, but they have yet play a very tough opponent until this point. I am giving the edge to Wisconsin because of their balanced attack on offense. I can not really rate either defense because they have not played a quality opponent. I am putting Wisconsin on upset alert in this game because it is very likely Arizona State can win the game. Through preseason study I also feel like Wisconsin has the upper edge on defense. This will be a high scoring battle that will go down to the wire and will be a great game. If Arizona State wins they will be looking at a place in the top 25.

#19 Washington at Illinois

Line: Washington by 10

Score Prediction: Washington wins 35-24

Washington started off their season with a nice victory of Boise State. Illinois has been more impressive than I expected including a nice win over Cincinnati last week. I think Washington will cover the spread and win comfortably behind quarterback Keith Price. Now this is one of the biggest games of the week to watch out for an upset. I am putting the Huskies on upset alert. If not for Washington's impressive balanced offense, improved defense, and bye week I would go ahead and predict the upset. Illinois has home field advantage and one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country in Nathan Scheelhaase. This game may end up being a high scoring affair, but the Huskies should pull out the victory.

#18 Florida does not play in week 3.

Western Michigan at #17 Northwestern

Line: Northwestern by 31

Score Prediction: Northwestern wins 52-10

Northwestern ultimately has two easy games in order to prep for Ohio State in a couple of weeks. Western Michigan has played very poorly all season and I see Northwestern covering the spread and winning big. Western Michigan will have to stop all aspects of the Wildcats' offense in order to pull a victory. An upset is possible even though it is not going to happen. Northwestern wins big in this game and Western Michigan will lose their third straight game.

#15 Miami, FL does not play in week 3.

Tulsa at #14 Oklahoma

Line: Oklahoma by 24

Score Prediction: Oklahoma wins 24-13

Oklahoma starting quarterback Trevor Knight will not be playing this week so Blake Bell will have to replace him. Oklahoma has not had a lot of offensive production and has had to rely heavily on their defense. Tulsa is just the opposite and has to rely heavily on their offense. I am putting Oklahoma on upset alert this week versus Tulsa. Tulsa is capable of throwing the ball around a lot, but I believe Oklahoma will have their defense save them. While Oklahoma may win by a larger margin than 11, I still do not seeing them covering the spread. Blake Bell getting the nod at quarterback probably means a strong rushing attack and clock management. The Sooners win the game in a closer matchup than expected.

Vanderbilt at #13 South Carolina

Line: South Carolina by 11

Score Prediction: South Carolina wins 31-20

South Carolina is coming off a heartbreaking loss to Georgia. It is for this very reason that the Gamecocks need to watch out for Vanderbilt. The Commodores are not a team to underestimate and they bring everything they have every game. I think this game will stay close in the first half and maybe even through the third quarter. South Carolina will likely start to pull away with it behind the read option and the Gamecock defense. In order for Vanderbilt to pull out the upset they will need to force turnovers and find a way to keep their offense rolling. The Commodores showed great poise, but also great weakness in their game against Ole Miss. Can Vanderbilt cause the Gamecocks to lose two games in a row? It is more than just possible. I still give the edge to South Carolina especially with home field advantage. Steve Spurrier and his team are still on upset alert.

Lamar at #12 Oklahoma State

Line: Oklahoma State by 47

Score Prediction: Oklahoma State wins 63-13

Oklahoma State has been kind of unpredictable in the first few weeks of college football. In their first game against Mississippi State, the Cowboys established more of a rushing game than a passing game. they also played very nicely on defense. In their second game, Oklahoma State got back to the normal routine of high passing numbers, but allowed 35 points to UTSA. I do think the Cowboys will win big against Lamar, but there is a slight chance the spread is not covered. Lamar won their first game 75-0 and only lost by 13 to Louisiana Tech in week two. Lamar may put up some points, but at the end of the day  they will not be able to stop a dominant offense. Oklahoma State will win big and an upset will not occur.

Akron at #11 Michigan

Line: Michigan by 37

Score Prediction: Michigan wins 48-6

Michigan is coming off a huge win over Notre Dame and will continued to remain undefeated with a win over Akron. Akron is one of the weaker teams in college football and Devin Gardner and the Michigan Wolverines are on a hot streak. I have to be honest, I do not give the Zips any chance of upsetting Michigan in the Big House. Akron's biggest concern will be trying to stop the game from getting out of hand.

Nevada at #10 Florida State

Line: Florida State by 35

Score Prediction: Florida State wins 52-17

Nevada is not playing up to usual standard this year and Florida State played one of the most impressive games in college football in their first game. Nevada pulling an upset is still possible, but will not happen. Florida State is about to start an undefeated streak leading all the way to the Clemson game. If the Wolf Pack wants to beat the Seminoles, they will have to stop the offensive production led by Jameis Winston and James Wilder Jr. Expect a comfortable victory for Florida State even though they may not cover the spread.

#9 Georgia does not play in week 3.

Kent State at #8 LSU

Line: LSU by 38

Score Prediction: LSU wins 38-7

I am not really giving Kent State a chance to upset. I am predicting that LSU will not cover the 38 point spread. Zach Mettenberger has really stepped into the leadership role that fans expected of the LSU quarterback last year. The Tiger defense is also playing much better than I expected and I expect running back Jeremy Hill to get more carries this week. LSU will win big, but will not cover the spread in my opinion.

#7 Louisville at Kentucky

Line: Louisville by 14

Score Prediction Louisville wins 35-17

I think Kentucky will actually make this an interesting game early. They are in the process of a recovery year with new head coach Mark Stoops. The Wildcats like to play their best football at home against big opponents. Louisville is just a little bit to tough for Kentucky and it will be all Cardinal in the second half. Louisville quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has been playing out of his mind. It also did not hurt when Charlie Strong added running back Michael Dyer. Defensively, Kentucky does not have enough offensive playmakers to put up a lot of points on Louisville. An upset is possible, but Louisville will win and cover the spread.

#1 Alabama at #6 Texas A&M

Line: Alabama by 7

Score Prediction: Alabama wins 24-10

This is obviously game of the week. There are so many questions surrounding this game. How will Manziel perform? How will Alabama's offensive line perform? Will recent allegations against Alabama affect their performance? I see Alabama winning this one because of the extra week of preparation and all the work that has been put in this off season. The allegations against former Alabama player Dj Fluker could possibly rattle this team a little bit. If Johnny Manziel plays with the same level of competitiveness as he did last year and the A&M defense takes advantage of a weak offensive line, an upset is HIGHLY possible. In fact it is very easy to say this game could go either way. Obviously the Crimson Tide will be on upset alert. If history has proven anything on how Alabama performs in "revenge" games, the  Crimson Tide is the obvious favorite. If Manziel plays like a true Heisman winner, watch out Alabama.

#5 Stanford at Army

Line: Stanford by 30

Score Prediction: Stanford wins 42-10

Army has no chance of winning this football game. Stanford is fundamentally sound on both sides of the ball and should keep this game out of reach for the Black Knights. A "win" for Army would be preventing Stanford from not covering the spread in this one. Miracles can happen, but you will not see one in this game. Army is much too weak and needs a couple of more years to try to build a program.

#4 Ohio State at California

Line: Ohio State by 15

Score Prediction: Ohio State wins 27-20

This is a very intriguing game. California gave the Buckeyes all they could handle last year and the Golden Bears get to host this year's matchup. If California had not lost so many players from last year, I might would have gone right out and predicted the upset. I am putting Ohio State on upset alert because of the Braxton Miller injury and California's home field advantage. Ohio State is also so not as good as they were last year. This game will be closer than expected, but I have the Buckeyes winning. I do not have them covering the spread. The Golden Bears need to shut down Ohio State's offensive production and speed up their own offensive production in order to win. Expect to see some big plays in this game.

#3 Clemson does not play in week 3.

Tennessee at #2 Oregon

Line: Oregon by 20

Score Prediction: oregon wins 45-21

Usually I would see game like this as an upset alert type of game, but I am not putting the Ducks on upset alert. Oregon has been the most impressive college football team this season and Tennessee is still trying to get back to their winning ways. Tennessee is capable of scoring points and forcing turnovers which is what they will need to do to pull the upset. Oregon has an offense that is just too fast for this Tennessee defense and I see the spread being covered and Oregon winning without hesitation. First quarter may be a close one. After that, the game will rapidly begin to fall in the hands of the mighty Ducks.

2013 CFB Season: Breakdown of the Ap Top 25 Games of Week 2

Week one of college football was one every fan could possibly want it to be. Plenty of upsets and closes games to keep your adrenaline going until the next Saturday. There are a few differences in this week's poll compared to last week. It is a new week and a new breakdown of the AP top 25 games of week two.

Washington State at #25 USC
Line:  USC by 15
Score Prediction: USC wins 34-20
USC did not impress me when they played Hawaii last week. They managed to force a lot of turnovers, but struggled with the two quarterback system they were running. Washington State proved last week against Auburn that they are a much better passing team than they are given credit for. I do not see the Trojans covering the spread. It is possible, but I think this will be an offensive battle that will be won by USC because of their defense's ability to force turnovers. This game could be closer than expected and a upset is very possible. If Washington State can force their own fair share of turnovers we may have a ball game. I have USC winning comfortably, but I also am putting them on upset alert.

SouthEastern Louisiana at #24 TCU
Line: TCU by 43
Score Prediction: TCU wins 52-13
TCU suffered a disappointing loss to LSU in week one. That game was actually not as big of a defensive battle as I thought it would. A lot of FCS schools have pulled off some upset this past week, but this will not be one of them. TCU has a better offense than I expected and their defense will always be impressive with Gary Patterson as head coach. I do not predict TCU to cover the spread. It is hard to believe Gary Patterson would risk injury to his players in order to run up the score, but of course you never know and the spread could be covered. If SE Louisiana wants to win this game they must do what Eastern Washington did so well over Oregon State and that is dominate on offense. An upset is highly unlikely in this game. TCU will win big.

Buffalo at #23 Baylor
Line: Baylor by 27
Score Prediction: Baylor wins 49-24
I was actually very impressed with Buffalo this past week. They scored 20 points on Ohio State and ultimately their performance was nice enough for the AP to drop Ohio State back to number three. While they played nicely, Baylor will win this one in a blowout. I am not predicting Baylor to cover the spread because if Buffalo can score 20 on Ohio State, they can score at least that many points on Baylor. I feel like the Bears' offense will be a little too much for Buffalo behind running back Lache Seastrunk. Buffalo will need to slow down Baylor's offense and have high offensive production against them to pull the upset. Is an upset possible? Yes. Will it happen? No

Southern Miss at #22 Nebraska
Line: Nebraska by 28
Score Prediction: Nebraska wins 41-13
Normally I would not predict a team that only beat Wyoming by 3 points to cover the spread. Wyoming has a great passing offense that gave the Cornhusker's defense trouble. In this case, I predict Nebraska to cover the spread because they are playing Southern Miss which has now lost 13 games in a row because of last week's loss to Texas State. This week will be 14 in a row. Southern Miss has a chance of upsetting the Cornhuskers because they to have a high powered passing attack. Nebraska's rushing effort led by quarterback Taylor Martinez will be to much for the Golden Eagles to handle, and I predict a victory in favor of the Cornhuskers. It could be a closer game than one might believe if Nebraska plays poorly on defense which will provide Southern Miss with their only opportunity to upset.

Tennessee Tech at #21 Wisconsin
Line: Wisconsin by 45
Score Prediction: Wisconsin wins 56-14
Wisconsin displayed one of the most lethal offenses in the country this past week. They were very balanced in both their pass and run game. They also shutout Massachusetts. It is for this very reason that I do not believe there will be an FCS upset between these two schools. Tennessee Tech will have to play tremendously on defense to slow down Wisconsin. I like Tennessee Tech's ability to score so I predict Wisconsin will win big, but not cover the spread. The chances of an upset are very low.

#20 Washington does not play this week.

Syracuse at #19 Northwestern
Line: Northwestern by 10
Score Prediction: Northwestern wins 28-10
Northwestern is another team who showed great balance in their offense last week. Syracuse is also not a team to underestimate after playing a close game with Penn State. I believe Northwestern will win and cover the spread because of their ability to dominate the time of possession. If their defense can stop Syracuse they will eliminate any possible ability of an upset. If Syracuse can force turnovers and keep Northwestern off the field, they can win this game. I do not think an upset will occur in this game, but it is still very possible so I am putting the Wildcats on upset alert.

#18 UCLA does not play this week.

#14 Notre Dame at #17 Michigan
Line: Michigan by 3
Score Prediction: Michigan wins 31-13
Although Notre Dame is ranked higher, Michigan is the favorite in this game. I truly think Michigan will win big in this game. Notre Dame's quarterback Tommy Rees impressed me last week, but Michigan's quarterback Devin Gardner impressed me even more. Obviously this game could go either way especially if Notre Dame's defense shuts down Gardner. This is going to be a great game, but I think Michigan will pull away with it in the Big House. The Wolverines will need to show up on defense in order to make it a dominating victory which I am not completely convinced they can do. Notre Dame has a great defense that is led by their defensive linemen so that makes the game even more interesting. Michigan will cover the spread, but this game could get close easily.

West Virginia at #16 Oklahoma
Line: Oklahoma by 20
Score Prediction: Oklahoma wins 31-10
Oklahoma's freshmen quarterback Trevor Knight really impressed me. West Virginia almost lost to William and Mary and Oklahoma had a 34 point victory last week. An upset is possible because West Virginia is capable of scoring a lot of points, but I think Trevor Knight will be the key to the game. I think Oklahoma will cover the spread and may score more than I predicted them to. I still am  putting the Sooners on upset alert. Trevor Knight is still a young quarterback who is capable of making mistakes along with a young Oklahoma defense. The upset is not likely though so do not be surprised to see a dominating victory.

#15 Texas at BYU
Line: Texas by 7
Score Prediction: Texas wins 38-14
I may have gotten a little carried away in the score prediction. Regardless, I believe Texas is one of the most underrated teams in college football right now. Texas has finally found a steady quarterback in David Ash and established a very nice run/pass balance. The Longhorns have one of the defenses in the country this year led by Jordan Hicks and Jackson Jeffcoat. BYU lost to Virginia in week one which is not a terrible upset by any means. It still was an upset in which BYU played poorly in almost every aspect of the game. The game is at BYU so an upset is not out of the question. The Cougars are also a very good passing team which may cause trouble early in the game. After reviewing this game closely, I am giving a huge advantage to Texas and  I am giving BYU little to no chance of beating them.

#13 Oklahoma State at UTSA
Line: Oklahoma State by 26.
Score Prediction: Oklahoma State wins 49-10
Oklahoma State and Mississippi State play a great game last Saturday. The Cowboys pulled away with it in the second half but did not establish a dominate passing game. I was still very impressed with quarterback J.W. Walsh's ability to pass and run the ball. UTSA is not as bad as people believe they are, but I predict a dominating victory. If UTSA wants to win this ball game they will have to shut down the passing game and force Oklahoma State to run the ball. Considering that Oklahoma State ran the ball pretty well with the read option, I do not think an upset will occur. Anything can happen especially since the game is at UTSA. The spread will be covered and the Cowboys will win in dominant fashion.

#12 Florida at Miami, FL
Line: Florida by 3
Score Prediction: Florida wins 20-17
This is going to be one of the most interesting games of the week. Florida is a tough SEC team, but I have noted that I expect Miami to make it to the ACC Championship game. I have Florida winning the game, but Miami very well can pull the upset. Florida played a weak offensive game against Toledo in week one. Miami showed a very solid rushing attack behind running back Duke Johnson in their game against FAU. In order for Miami to win they will have to find a weakness in a stingy Florida defense. Since it is a home game for the Hurricanes the crowd must be a factor. Turnover margin will be crucial for both teams and there has to be some big plays down field. Gator quarterback Jeff Driskel needs to throw well in this game so Florida can survive the upset. This is the type of game that could come down to a last second field goal. Florida is on upset alert in this game.

#6 South Carolina at #11 Georgia
Line: Georgia by 3
Score Prediction: Georgia wins 27-20
Although the line favors Georgia, South Carolina is ranked higher and most analyst are predicting the Gamecocks. I am predicting the Bulldogs to pull the upset. Georgia is coming off a tough loss to Clemson. A young defense proved just too much for them to handle. I like Georgia in the game because of motivation. Mark Richt is dedicated to win a big game and they need this one. Crowd will be a factor and if Georgia shuts down the rushing attack and can find a way to block Jadeveon Clowney then the Bulldogs will get the win. South Carolina needs to attack this young Georgia secondary and slow down Todd Gurley. Clowney will need to put a lot of pressure on Aaron Murray as well. These are all they key factors for the Gamecocks to win. A game like this could go either way, but I like Georgia's chances even though they are coming off a loss.

#10 Florida State played on Tuesday Night.

UAB at #9 LSU
Line: LSU by 35
Score Prediction: LSU wins 38-17
I like LSU to win big in this one, but not cover the spread. A upset is possible in this game, but is not going to happen. In order for UAB to win they will have to take advantage of a young LSU defense by dominating on offense. UAB head coach Garrick McGee is was an offensive coordinator in the SEC so he knows how to expose an SEC defense. The Blazers just do not have enough all around talent to beat the Tigers in Death Valley. Zach Mettenberger will be way too much for the UAB secondary to handle. I see an interesting first quarter, but after that LSU will control and dominate the game.

Eastern Kentucky at #8 Louisville
Line: Louisville by 40
Score Prediction: Louisville wins 63-7
In all reality, I am giving Eastern Kentucky a zero percent chance to win this game. Teddy Bridgewater, a Heisman candidate, is much too dominate for Easter Kentucky to stop. I think the Cardinals will cover the spread, but Eastern Kentucky preventing Louisville from covering the spread will be the only thing they could take away from this game. Louisville wins big in this one.

Sam Houston State at #7 Texas A&M
Line: Texas A&M by 45
Score Prediction: Texas A&M wins 59-10
Johnny Manziel will be playing the whole game this week and that calls for me to give Sam Houston State zero percent chance to win. This is ultimately a practice game in order to get ready for Alabama. The Aggies may not cover the spread, but will win this game in a landslide. Manziel may not even play in the fourth quarter. If he does not play because the Aggies are dominating or because he gets ejected is something that is to be determined.

San Jose State at #5 Stanford
Line: Stanford by 20
Score Prediction: Stanford wins 31-10
I am giving San Jose State a slight chance to upset Stanford. They are a team that has dramatically improved over the past few seasons and it is possible. Stanford is my favorite to make it to the national title game and I predict the Cardinal to win and cover the spread. It is Stanford's first game of the season so they could be a little sloppy. If the Spartans want to upset they will have to take advantage of weaknesses like that. Stanford is solid on both sides of the ball and I predict a nice victory in their first game.

South Carolina State at #4 Clemson
Line: Clemson by 52
Score Prediction: Clemson wins 65-7
This is yet another game where I giving a top notch team's opponent a zero percent chance to win. Clemson score 38 points on Georgia, I can only imagine how many they will score on South Carolina State. This will be essentially a game to rest players from last weeks game. Clemson wins big against South Carolina State.

San Diego State at #3 Ohio State
Line: Ohio State by 24
Score Prediction: Ohio State wins 45-17
I am not ruling out the possibility of an upset. San Diego State has gone downhill a little since the departure of Brady Hoke, but they are capable of the upset. Ohio State played poorly against Buffalo in some aspects of last week's game. The Aztecs are still a really weak team so the upset will not happen. Braxton Miller will lead the offense on a big scoring run that will result in a nice victory for the Buckeyes.

#2 Oregon at Virginia
Line: Oregon by 23
Score Prediction: Oregon wins 49-6
Virginia was not favored to beat BYU last week, but the Cavaliers won the game. This also a home game for Virginia which gives me all the more reason to give them some kind of chance of pulling an upset. The key for any team to beat Oregon is to slow down their offense. The Cavaliers do not have the depth on defense that is needed to stop the tempo Oregon has. The offense will prove too much for Virginia and Oregon will win big.

#1 Alabama does not play in week 2.

2013 CFB Season: Breakdown of the AP Top 25 games of Week 1

The best time of the year is finally here. The start of college football is better than Christmas to a die hard fan, and we are now less than a week away. Each week I will breakdown every top 25 team and their upcoming game. These top 25 rankings will be based on the Associated Press poll until the BCS rankings are released. These predictions will give keys for each team to win the game and also a final score.

Eastern Washington at #25 Oregon State

Line: Oregon State by 28

Score Prediction: Oregon State wins 49-10

Week 1 is usually filled with games like this. Oregon State is looking to make a run in the PAC 12 and should win big. Eastern Washington will need an Appalachian State over Michigan type upset in this one.  The Beavers will start out their season 1-0 with a blowout win over Eastern Washington. The Beavers should cover the line easily.

#24 USC at Hawaii

Line: USC by 21.5

Score Prediction: USC wins 45-20

The USC Trojans traveling to face Hawaii will not give any edge to the Warriors. Hawaii is still trying to rebuild with head coach Norm Chow and opening up with USC is not ideal. USC should cover the spread easily, but Lane Kiffin is playing both Cody Kessler and Max Wittek at quarterback which may cause the Trojan offense not to score as many points. Hawaii will need to take advantage of the two quarterback system and force turnovers. The Warriors will also need to have smart clock management and not turn the ball over in order to upset. An upset of USC is not likely. Although I believe USC will struggle some throughout the season, they should win this game comfortably.

Massachusetts at #23 Wisconsin

Line: Wisconsin by 45

Score Prediction: Wisconsin wins 56-6

This is another one of the weaker opening games. Sadly, it is very likely that Wisconsin will cover the spread. It all depends on how much mercy new Wisconsin head coach Gary Anderson shows. It actually would not surprise me to see the Badgers score more than 56 points. Massachusetts is yet another team that will need to play an amazing game in order to pull an upset over a team like Wisconsin. Gary Anderson will win his first game as head coach of the Wisconsin Badgers.

#22 Northwestern at California

Line: Northwestern by 6

Score Prediction: Northwestern wins 27-17

This is actually a very interesting game. California is not projected to do much this year, but expect them to keep this game close. I predict Northwestern will cover the spread by scoring a touchdown or two late in the game. California will need to step up on defense and keep Northwestern’s offense off the field in order to win this game. The Golden Bears will also need to establish a solid passing game. New California head coach Sonny Dykes will do everything possible to win his first game. His efforts will come up just short as I believe the Wildcats will run away with it in the second half. This game could be an interesting one though.

Nevada at #21 UCLA 

Line: UCLA by 19

Score Prediction: UCLA wins 34-17

UCLA is favored to win big over Nevada. While Nevada is a weaker team this year, I do not expect the Bruins to cover the spread. They could cover the spread depending on how long this game stays close in the first half. UCLA will still win in nice fashion, but the Bruins are not as strong as they were last year. This matchup will show just how good UCLA will be this year even though the line is by 19. Nevada will need to be physically dominant on both sides of the ball and force turnovers in order to pull the upset. The game will be close in the first quarter, but will quickly start to get out of Nevada's reach.  

#20 TCU vs. #12 LSU

Line: LSU by 4

Score Prediction: LSU wins 20-13

This will be one of the most exciting games of week one. Fans should expect a defensive battle. While I predict LSU to win, the Tigers are on upset alert. The key for LSU to win this game will depend on the play of quarterback Zach Mettenberger and how well the defense performs. TCU will need to take advantage on a young Tiger defense. TCU will also need to find an identity in their offense and find a nice pass/run balance. Turnover margin will be crucial in this game, and LSU head coach Les Miles will have to show his mad hatting skills in this close battle. I believe LSU will hang on and win it.

#19 Boise State at Washington

Line: Washington by 3

Score Prediction: Washington wins 35-31

Although Boise State is ranked and Washington is not, the Huskies are favored in this game. I call for Washington to win which I am considering an upset. Boise State has a young team but a very good quarterback in Joe Southwick. If there is any coach in the country that can win against all odds it is Boise State head coach Chris Peterson. Washington has home field advantage, quarterback Keith Price is healthy, and Washington has 18 returning starters. Boise State will need to perform well on defense and force turnovers and Southwick will need to have a really good game passing in order to win. A game like this could go either way, but I give the edge to Washington.

Wyoming at #18 Nebraska

Line: Nebraska by 28

Score Prediction: Nebraska wins 56-14

Nebraska has a very powerful offense behind quarterback Taylor Martinez and I expect a blowout victory. Wyoming will need to perform with an amazing defense to slow down this Cornhusker offense and pull this monster upset. Nebraska will begin 1-0 on the season in dominant fashion over the Wyoming Cowboys. I also believe the spread will be covered unless Bo Pelini shows mercy.

Central Michigan at #17 Michigan

Line: Michigan by 31

Score Prediction: Michigan wins 41-17

Michigan should dominate this game, but I do not see them covering the spread. Central Michigan is capable of keeping this game from getting out of hand. This is another example of something big having to happen in order for an upset to happen. I am not saying it is not possible, but highly unlikely. This will be Michigan's first year without Denard Robinson so it will be interesting to see what head coach Brady Hoke has in store. Central Michigan will have to play flawlessly so it is safe to say Michigan starts 1-0.

ULM at #16 Oklahoma

Line: Oklahoma by 23

Score Prediction: Oklahoma wins 31-21

Oklahoma is favored in this game by 23, which I believe will not be covered. I am also going out on a long limb and putting Oklahoma on upset alert. ULM returns roughly 17 starters including quarterback Kolton Browning. Bob Stoops also surprised the country by naming Trevor Knight as the starting quarterback over Blake Bell. ULM also upset Arkansas last season which is impressive regardless of how badly the Razorbacks were last year. I predict the Sooners win this in a close matchup. In order for the Warhawks to pull the upset, the defense will need to put plenty of pressure on Trevor Knight. Kolton Browning needs to play like he did against Arkansas last year and take advantage of a young Oklahoma defense.

New Mexico State at #15 Texas

Line: Texas by 42

Score Prediction: Texas wins 63-6

This is yet another game that will end with the spread probably being covered. New Mexico State ultimately has no remote chance of beating the Longhorns now that they have an identity on both their offense and defense. Texas will make a strong push for the Big 12 title and they will start their season with an easy victory. New Mexico State will have to do everything perfect in order to pull this big upset.

Temple at #14 Notre Dame

Line: Notre Dame by 24

Score Prediction: Notre Dame wins 41-9

This will not be the biggest blowout of week one, but Notre Dame fans do not have much to worry about. Notre Dame's only concern is not having Everett Golson, which will be what Temple needs to consider in order to have a remote chance of winning. The Fighting Irish have a phenomenal defense and will probably keep Temple in low scoring numbers. This is just another example of a simple first game in order to ensure a victory. The spread will more than likely be covered, and give Notre Dame a 1-0 start.

#13 Oklahoma State vs. Mississippi State

Line: Oklahoma State by 13

Score Prediction: Oklahoma State wins 38-21

While this is one of the more exciting games of week one, the Cowboys should win this with one without much worry. Mississippi State will keep it close early maybe even through the third quarter, but the Cowboys offense is to explosive for Mississippi State to slow down for four quarters. There is one huge factor for Dan Mullen and the Bulldogs to remember in order to upset Oklahoma State: play defense. This will not be the best year for Mississippi State, but they are capable of pulling this upset unlike other week one games.

#11 Florida State at Pittsburgh

Line: Florida State by 10

Score Prediction: Florida State wins 42-10

This may seem like one of the more interesting games of week one, but I expect a blowout in this one. FSU quarterback Jameis Winston will put on a show against this defense. Pittsburgh has enough talent to upset the Seminoles, but I do not see where they have enough experience on both sides of the ball to do it. The Panthers are going to have to slow down this offense and find weaknesses in the defense. Florida State should have this game under control from beginning to end and dominate on their way to a 1-0 start.

Toledo at #10 Florida

Line:  Florida by 21

Score Prediction: Florida wins 38-13

I actually do not believe this game will be as big of a blowout as one might expect. Florida tends to get a little big headed against opponents like this and while they always pull out a victory, I believe it will stay close in the first quarter. The Gators can cover the spread although it is not guaranteed in this matchup. Toledo will need to put pressure on quarterback Jeff Driskel and attempt a few trick/big plays down the stretch. The chances of an upset in this game are slim, but unlike most games in week one there is at least a chance.

Ohio at #9 Louisville

Line: Louisville by 20

Score Prediction: Louisville wins 34-6

Louisville will win big in this one. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater and the Louisville offense may put up more points than I predicted. Just like most of the games in week one, Ohio will need to pull out all the stops and play flawlessly on both sides of the ball in order to win. The only reason I give Ohio a slight chance is because Louisville tends to play weaker opponents too close. This should still be an easy victory and help start the road for a national title berth.

#5 Georgia at #8 Clemson

Line: Georgia by 2

Score Prediction: Clemson wins 28-27

This was by far the hardest game this week for me to pick. I give Clemson the slight edge because Georgia lost so many leaders on defense. I will say right now that this is one of those games that can go either way depending on who shows up. Clemson also has home field advantage. In order for Georgia to win, quarterback Aaron Murray will need to dominate passing and running back Todd Gurley needs to have solid game rushing. Defensively, the Bulldogs will need to slow down quarterback Tahj Boyd and his strong group of receivers. Winner of this game automatically becomes a strong national title contender. This game gets my vote for best of game of the week.

Rice at #7 Texas A&M

Line: Texas A&M by 28

Score Prediction: Texas A&M wins 35-10

While A&M will win this game, I do not believe they will cover the spread with at least a 28 point victory. All the controversy surrounding Johnny Manziel may very well affect his play. Also Rice has roughly 19 returning starters. No matter what kind of team you have experience is crucial. The Rice Owls are going into this game as big underdogs and will keep this game close possibly through halftime. The Owls will need to slow down Manziel which I am not convinced they can do. It is for that reason that I am giving A&M a dominant victory, but an upset is possible in this game as hard as that is to believe.

North Carolina at #6 South Carolina

Line: South Carolina by 11

Score Prediction: South Carolina wins 27-10

There is no question South Carolina will be lead by defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. This is one of the more intriguing games of week one, but the Gamecocks should cover the spread. There is a possibility they will not cover the spread because South Carolina needs to establish a rushing attack. North Carolina will need to find a way to stop Clowney and the passing game. Pulling an upset over South Carolina is not likely but is possible.

#4 Stanford does not play in week 1

Nicholls State at #3 Oregon

Line: Oregon by 58

Score Prediction: Oregon wins 70-7

Oregon is a 58 point favorite and I honestly believe they will cover that spread with ease. Oregon does not let up on their opponents and their offense is just too lethal. This is pretty much a warm up game for first year head coach Mark Helfrich and the Oregon Ducks. There is no chance for Nicholls State to pull out the upset.

Buffalo at #2 Ohio State 

Line: Ohio State by 35

Score Prediction: Ohio State wins 56-3

Buffalo ultimately has no chance of pulling this monster upset. Quarterback Braxton Miller is a dual threat quarterback that should pick apart this Buffalo defense. If the Buckeyes do not cover this spread, then Urban Meyer decided to show mercy. This will be a blowout from beginning to end and Ohio State will start 1-0.

#1 Alabama vs. Virginia Tech

Line: Alabama by 19

Score Prediction: Alabama wins 38-13

Virginia Tech has honestly not received their due credit this offseason. Quarterback Logan Thomas is a dual threat quarterback and an upset is possible. This Crimson Tide offense will be too much for the Hokies defense to handle. Alabama has its weak points in the secondary, but the defense should still keep Virginia Tech's offense off the field most of the game. The spread should be covered but it would not surprise me to see Nick Saban show mercy if it gets to that point. Virginia Tech will need to dominate on offense and slow down Alabama's balanced passing/rushing attack in order to pull off this massive upset.